Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 195.640021 227.082012 263.197016 308.025378 362.558639 427.233777 510.469773
2025-08-24 151.657138 190.473131 239.675618 307.648928 400.765421 526.343136 712.904148
2025-08-31 127.016508 168.268769 224.227275 307.649356 432.381321 618.005785 927.459044
2025-09-07 111.887775 154.621175 215.825929 312.960388 469.339083 722.923756 1192.231361
2025-09-14 96.208816 137.203587 198.368506 300.214716 473.973584 775.924763 1385.586887
2025-09-21 86.766547 127.392631 190.364276 300.105841 498.140862 866.669468 1679.932828
2025-09-28 79.613560 119.996239 184.796630 302.570549 526.602010 971.858627 2044.924239
2025-10-05 76.669694 118.804956 188.957487 322.384188 591.361436 1167.116501 2704.734155
2025-10-12 73.655224 117.035178 191.734089 339.921949 655.508494 1381.366732 3530.313355
2025-10-19 68.223165 110.475798 185.118091 338.071866 678.090242 1506.364591 4176.266847
2025-10-26 64.936384 107.284752 184.164073 347.308619 727.433078 1714.781127 5225.587099
2025-11-02 61.282428 103.027055 180.636382 350.497172 763.303781 1900.402095 6336.804798
2025-11-09 57.648037 98.843172 177.531448 355.980054 811.521553 2157.372578 8046.054959
2025-11-16 53.664326 93.643460 171.887308 355.148057 844.705800 2389.944748 9956.301028
2025-11-23 50.224427 89.107339 166.982508 355.121513 880.456091 2651.571565 12396.171919
2025-11-30 47.707407 86.103994 164.869689 361.451884 936.871875 3021.348020 16115.668669
2025-12-07 43.746002 79.807354 154.908113 346.262555 923.665800 3116.463547 18195.517323
2025-12-14 41.331264 76.445014 151.003517 346.132906 958.831822 3436.897778 22748.092221
2025-12-21 39.360116 73.812576 148.414629 349.068124 1005.589679 3843.599986 29235.526049
2025-12-28 38.882568 74.280796 152.982499 372.698166 1133.783400 4750.544216 44597.523262
2026-01-04 38.201548 74.234317 156.329556 393.662905 1261.778196 5790.316104 67954.470839
2026-01-11 36.264742 71.236678 152.166428 391.449193 1298.397441 6334.734561 87205.832678
2026-01-18 35.167735 70.022651 152.276878 402.506277 1395.315591 7381.226302 127057.945024